Saturday, August 22, 2015

Stocks post worst week of 2015 after China data – Livemint

New York: World stock markets fell sharply on Friday, heading for their worst week of the year, and commodities swung lower as more data pointed to slower growth in China and sent investors scurrying to the safety of bonds and gold.

Emerging market assets took another hammering and oil prices were on track for their longest losing streak in almost 30 years after Chinese factory activity shrank at its fastest pace since the 2009 financial crisis.

The Chinese factory data followed weaker-than-expected data in July, plus turbulent policy changes in the yuan and a brutal stock market plunge.

The dollar fell broadly, dropping to a two-month low against the euro, as the Chinese data eroded expectations the Federal Reserve will raise US interest rates next month. The low rates may be distorting valuations and creating asset bubbles.

"The Fed is in an extremely awk6ward situation right now," Robbert van Batenburg, director of flow strategy at Societe Generale. "You have across-the-board competitive currency devaluations that will invoke the deflationary monster here in the US."

Stocks on Wall Street and in Europe fell more than 2% in a global rout spurred by a 4% decline in Shanghai stocks. Major European indices were in correction territory, a decline of 10% or more from their peak.

The pan-regional FTSEurofirst fell 3.4% to 1,427.13, its worst day since November 2011, as traders shrugged off euro zone manufacturing and services data in a third straight day of selling.

MSCI's emerging markets index was at its weakest in four years, off 2.17%, while the firm's all-country world stock index fell 1.99%.

The Dow Jones industrial average is fell 365.39 points, or 2.15%, to 16,625.3. The S&P 500 slid 43.91 points, or 2.16%, to 1,991.82 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 114.10 points, or 2.34%, to 4,763.39.

Thomas Lee, managing partner at Fundstrat Global Advisors in New York, said it was hard to say what was behind the selloff.

"There's no shortage of things people can cite, from the movement in currencies, to the weakness in commodities and fears about China," Lee said. "But at the end of the day if people are trying to take down risk, then it's going to make sense for them to sell their exposure in equities as well."

Oil fell hard again. US crude was at a more than 6-year low, on track for its eighth straight weekly decline, down 3.17% to $ 40.01 a barrel. The US benchmark traded below the psychologically-important barrier of $ 40. Brent fell 3.13% to $ 45.16 a barrel.

Oil's run of weekly losses is its worst since 1986, when the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries ramped up production and sent it as low as $ 10 a barrel.

The Australian dollar, considered a liquid proxy for China demand, slid to $ 0.7285 at one point and was last trading at $ 0.7330, down 0.08%.

The Malaysian ringgit hit a pre-peg 17-year low and South Korea's won took its losses to 1.8% against the dollar this week. The Mexican peso, a proxy for emerging market currencies, fell 1%.

"The perfect storm that has enveloped EM local markets looks set to continue," Barclays analysts said in a note.

Gold, seen as a good asset in difficult times, rose to its highest level in more than a month. Gold was up 0.55% at $ 1,159.60 an ounce.

Yields on safe-haven US Treasuries slipped further, with the benchmark 10-year note rising 12/32 in price, pushing its yield down to 2.0417%.

Lower Treasury yields and the stronger euro weighed on the dollar. The greenback traded at 121.97 yen, the lowest in more than five weeks. Against the euro, the dollar fell 1.1% to $ 1.1364. Reuters

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